2016
Mar 25
Friday, 05:56 - Szabó Roland
CGSI Blog

2016 Tax Law Changes in Hungary - PART  2

This article presents the main tax law changes which affects on foreign investors who have business in Hungary - Part 2.

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2016
Mar 12
Sunday, 00:37 - Szabó Roland
CGSI Blog

2016 Tax Law Changes in Hungary

This article presents the main tax law changes which affects on foreign investors who have business in Hungary.

Hungarian Individual Tax decreased from 16% to 15%.

The social security insurance expense for those people who aren’t insured by employment increased from 6930 Forints to 7050 Forints.

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2016
Feb 22
Monday, 15:18 - Szabó Roland
CGSI Blog

The potency of central banks

What’s at stake: The negative market reaction to the latest efforts to provide further monetary stimulus has generated an important discussion on whether central banks have lost credibility in their abilities to fight downside risks and shore up economies.

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2016
Feb 17
Wednesday, 11:56 - Szabó Roland
CGSI Blog

Is economic growth the best indicator of overall success?

The release of the UK’s latest Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures dominated headlines last week.

While 0.5% growth in the last three months of 2015 means there have been twelve consecutive quarters of economic expansion, the annual rate of growth is the lowest for three years, and there were concerns about lack of balance across the different sectors of the economy and fears about the impact of global economic trends.

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2015
Sep 22
Tuesday, 12:28 - Szabó Roland
CGSI Blog

Will bank developments in China lead to a global banking revolution?

I recently found some exceptional insights into how China is leading the world of banking, as we saw the opening of digital banks WeBank and MYBank. If you are unfamiliar with these two bank titans, they both launched this year as offshoots of QQ and WeChat (Tencent) and AliPay and ANT Financial (Alibaba) respectively. This follows a number of notable achievements from both Tencent and Alibaba in recent times, from the trillions of dollars that flowed into Alibaba’s money market fund to the remarkable volume of messages generated by the Red Letter Day promotion. It leads me to wonder why these developments are so far ahead of Europe and America. Why haven’t Google, Amazon and Facebook generated their own banks and payment systems? What will happen when they do?

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2015
Sep 22
Tuesday, 12:17 - Szabó Roland
CGSI Blog

Majority in UK Now Favor Leaving EU

In the wake of the EU migration crisis with German chancellor Angela Merkel chiding UK prime minister David Cameron for not doing enough, a shocking new poll shows Majority in UK Wants to Leave the EU.

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2015
Sep 07
Monday, 11:05 - Szabó Roland
CGSI Blog

Economic Snapshot for Central and Eastern Europe Q1-Q2 2015

The majority of economies in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) began this year growing at a remarkable rhythm as they were starting to benefit from the nascent recovery in the Eurozone. According to a GDP growth estimate for the region, the economy of Central and Eastern Europe increased at a rate of 3.4% in the first quarter, which marked a notable acceleration compared to the 2.6% rise observed in the last quarter of 2014. Growth was propelled by a substantial increase in economic growth in the Czech Republic and Romania, as well as by positive impulses from the economies of Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia. However, the region’s growth dynamics in Q2 suggest a slowdown. CEE’s economy is expected to have been dragged down by a deceleration in the same economies that grew fastest in Q1. The Czech Republic and Romania are now expected to have slowed down in Q2, while the economies of Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia likely either saw the pace of growth moderating or remaining similar to the previous three-month period.

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2016
Sep 14
Wednesday, 11:57 - Szabó Roland
CGSI Blog

Do you need a financial advisor ?

Here are 3 signs that you could probably benefit from a financial advisor:

1. You are constantly in overdraft
Are you a spontaneous spender? Does your bank account show a negative balance even though you have a stable job? This is prime time to see a financial advisor, who will help you create a manageable budget that helps you pay down your debt or invest accordingly.

Being in a constant state of overdraft is the single biggest sign that your personal finances need help, especially if you have a stable source of income. It would be rather futile to deny your need for help when you constantly spend more than what you earn. If this has become the norm rather than the exception, a financial advisor’s insights would be helpful.

When it comes to learning how to fix and fortify your personal budget in order to get out of a constant state of overdraft, a financial advisor is your single biggest ally.

2. The case of the reappearing credit card balance 

Do you wonder why your credit card balance never seems to budge? Or worse, it rises each month? Until you understand the consequences of compounding interest, you may be plagued with never-ending credit card balances. You can consult with a financial advisor to teach you about debt management, and maybe debt consolidation. They can even get you a new loan with a lower interest rate to pay off your other loans with higher interest rates.

The ability to understand the math of compounding interest is something that financial advisors possess in abundant amounts. Because of their mastery of the mathematics behind your credit card balances, engaging the services of one will allow you to come up with the best possible tactics for negotiating a restructuring of your credit card debts.

Think of financial advisers as your financial “lawyers” or counsel that can help you arrive at a mutually beneficial restructuring of your credit card balances. This can help you finally retire or eradicate that pesky credit card balance.

3. Saving in your mind

Do you dream of owning a car? A house? Sending your kids to college? These things do not materialize out of nowhere. They come from saving money. A financial advisor will work with you to create a schedule where you can take care of your expenses and save accordingly to achieve whatever it is that you dream about.

 

The savings plan that a financial planner can prepare for you is one that is realistic. So you can finally take your dream savings from you mind out onto paper. It’s easy to fall for the fallacy that says what your mind can conceive you can achieve. When coming up with a savings plan on your own, the risk is high that you are predisposed to being too optimistic. Because financial advisors are detached from your personal finances, they can look at your situation objectively and prepare a financially realistic savings plan for your financial goals.

 

2016
Sep 20
Tuesday, 11:22 - Szabó Roland
CGSI Blog

How would Brexit affects the European economy?

As the dust clears from the result of the UK’s referendum on EU membership, new Prime Minister Theresa May and her team must begin serious consideration of the options open to the UK. Two issues are likely to sit at the heart of the UK’s negotiation.

First, there is an economic imperative to preserve the operation of the financial services sector. UK-authorised financial firms currently enjoy a ‘passport’ to operate throughout the EU without additional authorisation. Loss of the EU ‘passport’ would damage not only intra-EU financial services exports, but also reduce the willingness of third country (especially US) firms to base European operations in the UK. According to TheCityUK, financial and related professional services account for 7% of domestic employment (two-thirds of whom work outside London), 12% of UK GDP and 12% of UK tax revenues. The EU is the largest export market for UK financial services. Its loss could be an economic disaster for the UK.

Second, in light of the significance attached to concerns about immigration in the referendum campaigning, there is a political imperative to secure a change to the terms on which immigrants are able to enter the UK. These two desiderata are widely thought to be incompatible: EU officials and senior politicians in other Member States havepublicly opined that the EU’s framework is not available a la carte: we must take free movement or leave financial services. What, then, are the options for the UK?

To date, consideration of alternatives to the EU has revolved around three possibilities popularly known as the ‘Norway’, ‘Swiss’ and ‘Canada’ models. The so-called ‘Norway model’ would involve re-joining the European Free Trade Association (EFTA) and becoming a party to the European Economic Area (EEA). Ironically, EFTA membership would be a round-trip for the UK, which was the prime mover behind the establishment of EFTA in 1960 as an economically-oriented framework for trade liberalisation between European countries, in contrast to the EEC’s more politically-oriented approach. Yet over the years, EFTA increasingly became seen as a ‘waiting room’ for EU membership, from which most of its original member states subsequently graduated. Today there are just four EFTA members: Iceland, Liechtenstein, Norway, and Switzerland.

A key difference from the EU is that EFTA is not a customs union. This means that, while EFTA members agree to waive tariffs on goods and services amongst themselves, they do not agree a common policy in relation to trade with third countries. This would open the possibility, for example, to more favourable trade terms with Commonwealth countries, as was the case prior to the UK’s accession to the EEC in 1973. Nevertheless, EFTA does negotiate shared free trade agreements with third countries on behalf of its members, which the UK would be free to join or not as it wished. 

The most important such agreement is the 1994 European Economic Area (‘EEA’) Agreement, which governs relations between three EFTA members (Switzerland opted out) and the EU. The EEA entails acceptance of the EU’s four freedoms: goods, persons, services and capital. Moreover, the EEA requires contracting parties to implement as part of their ‘internal legal order’ the vast majority of the EU’s acquis (as set out in the 22Annexes to the EEA Agreement), save for the Common Agricultural Policy, the Customs Union, the Common Trade Policy, the Common Foreign and Security Policy, Justice and Home Affairs, and the European Monetary Union.

As regards financial services, the EEA-relevant EU measures include those pertaining tocompany law and financial services. As a result, were the UK to become a party to the EEA, UK-authorised financial services firms would keep their ‘passport’ to market products and services throughout the EU. Moreover, UK-registered companies founded by entrepreneurs in other EU member states (of which there may be upwards of 100,000) would continue to have their existence recognised by other EU jurisdictions.

However, there are two significant drawbacks to an EEA version of the ‘passport’, as opposed to the EU version. First, the UK would no longer get any say over the content of the rules. As a member of the EU, the UK has been a highly influential participant in the legislative process. In particular, the EU’s early 21st century reforms on securities markets owed much to UK thinking, and the UK has been a vocal opponent of some post-crisis measures it views as overkill. 

Second, the ‘transplantation’ of EU legislation into the laws of EEA members is not automatic; rather, members must each consent to enact it into their domestic laws. This can lead to a lag between the enactment of EU laws and their EEA adoption. There have been particular problems with post-crisis EU financial regulation. The new European System of Financial Supervision (‘ESFS’), introduced in 2010, established EU-level agencies with delegated authority to write binding rules. Implementing this creates constitutional difficulties for some EEA members, and although the matter is a priorityfor the EFTA Standing Committee, it has not yet been resolved. Because the ESFS is embedded in all subsequent financial services regulations produced by the EU, virtually none of the EU’s post-crisis financial regulation is yet applicable in non-EU EEA signatories. Indeed, the majority of the EU legislation in the ‘holding pattern’ status of ‘identified as EEA-relevant but not yet adopted’ consists of financial services measures.

Financial services regulation in the EU has moved quickly since the financial crisis. If UK firms have no say in the direction of that process, and cannot be guaranteed the application of the latest measures, then the current EEA model will not be suitable for thefast-changing regulatory challenges of the financial sector. This means that if the UK seeks to sign up to the EEA, it would need to ensure at least some mechanism to improve implementation speed for financial services measures and ideally some process for securing UK input to the rules. This would be in both sides’ interests, because regardless of EU membership, their financial sectors will continue to be interwoven as a practical matter, posing a mutual source of potential systemic risk.

The EEA therefore does not look a promising avenue for the UK. Straightforwardly applied, it would involve no additional immigration control and a greatly enfeebled version of the financial services passport. Of course, the UK might try to negotiate exceptions to the EEA’s free movement parameters: Liechtenstein, for example, obtained a five-year transitional period. However, the UK’s prospects for such an ‘EEA minus’ deal seem distinctly unpromising, given the risk to the EU of setting a precedent that other member states might follow. More concerning for the UK is the risk that other EU member states, jealous of London’s success in financial services, might offer an ‘EEA minus’ version that permitted the UK to opt out of free movement but tore up the passport for financial services.

 

What, then, of the other options? The ‘Swiss’ and ‘Canadian’ models each refer to bilateral agreements between these countries and the EU, which could provide templates for a bilateral UK-EU deal. The bundle of bilateral measures between Switzerland and the EU cover free trade in goods, but not services, and also require Switzerland to accept the free movement of EU citizens. This configuration would clearly be unappealing to UK voters, as indeed it now appears to be to the Swiss. In contrast, the recently-negotiatedComprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (‘CETA’) between Canada and the EU, encompasses not only goods but a wide range of services, and does not entail any commitment on Canada’s part to free movement of persons. However, its provisions on financial services (Chapter 13) do not extend anywhere near the ‘passport’ recognition enjoyed by firms authorised within the EU. Brexit optimists might argue that the UK might be in a stronger negotiating position even than Canada and so able to achieve an even better result. Yet it should be remembered that CETA has taken seven years to negotiate, that any bespoke agreement with the UK would be at least as complex, and that EU member states would have concerns about precedent-setting which would not have applied to Canada. Uncertainty blights investment, and uncertainty of the extent and duration entailed by such a negotiation could easily be fatal for much of the UK’s financial services sector.

Source: business law blog